Version 6.61 |
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New Features: The web version added the Driver Diagram Display, Search Options for several displays, a new Option to Group by Location in Bar Chart (also new in stand alone version), Statistic Analysis and other display options to the Forecast Scatter Display, the Birth Cohorts Display, the Cost of Education Display, the Mortality and Disability Years Display, the World Bank Financial Flows Displays, the Advanced Sustainability Analysis (ASA) Display, and the ability to compare countries in the Education and Mortality pyramid Displays. Model Improvements: This version further developed the infrastructure module, which is the foundation for volume 4 of the PPHP series: Building Global Infrastructure. The process to break down countries into provinces was updated and improved using data for South Africa. We also added multiyear statistical analysis capabilities for historical data. |
Version 6.52 |
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New Features: The Web version has been updated to use new interactive tools for graphics and maps. Also the web version is now capable of storing bookmarks for several display forms, allowing users to start the model from the these points (useful to enter the model from other websites or documents). Line graphs can now be generated directly from the Country Profile. When using multiple selection of scenario files, the order used will be preserved for presentation of the selected variables. Model Improvements: This version has considerably enhanced the infrastructure and governance modules. Also this version introduces a standard error approach for scenario analysis as an alternative to multipliers for selected variables (mostly governance and infrastructure), allowing the user to target a number of standard errors relative to an expected formulation for the variable, for example for traffic deaths per vehicle. |
Version 6.47 |
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New Features: The new version has added a filter for Historic data (allowing selection of subsets by importance to the model and length of data series). It also has added a new feature to compute absolute change in our forecast tables. The Poverty Display now has a new option to find people living within an income range. Transformations are now available in the Scatter Plot. Our Historical displays now have a new option to fill holes without extrapolation. The version added a saturation point to change the form for logistics functions. It added a filter/search option for bi-variate and analytic functions. It provides flexibility to change aggregation rules for forecast and historical variables. It added an option to display a forecast movie using bubble scatter plots. It now has options to import and export variable lists. It is possible to calculate life expectancy at age X by country. It has group intersection for Flexible Packaged Displays. We added the Ibrahim Index to our lists of flexible packaged displays. Model Improvements: This version inclues a new alternative to forecast smoking prevalence. It also includes a new alternative to compute dyadic interstate threat, based on the cultures of interaction index. There's a new calculation of political embeddedness. We introduced the extrapolative approach to some of our forecasted variables, like broadband access and mobile phone access. This approach allows us to use historical growth rates for the first years of the forecast and smoothly transition to a more dynamic approach. The extreme poverty measure was migrated from $1 per day to $1.25 per day. |
Version 6.32 |
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New Features: Radial charts were introduced. There's a new health-related display called J-Curve display, which shows mortality (rate and probability) across the different age categories, describing in most case a J-curve with higher infant mortality, lower child mortality, and then increasing mortality as people age. The stand-alone version now has a new display for Performance and Risk, and another for Historic Dyadic Conflict data. Also the stand-alone version now has the ability to use group aliases for tables and graphs (when available). Model Improvements: This version further developed the health module, which is the foundation for volume 3 of the PPHP series: Improving Global Health. The SOFI index and its underlying data were further updated. |
Version 6.01 |
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New Features: The start year of the model was rebased from 2000 to 2005 and added/updated a very large amount of data to the database in order to make that possible. That change is the major reason for moving from Version 5.x series to Version 6.01. On the interface, the new version has added a world map on the Main Menu page that allows the user to explore many displays for any given country, including a new Country Profile form that provides basic information and forecasts about any country. Many new displays are available under Display/Flex-Packaged Displays. Model Improvements: This version has considerably enhanced the education module and has taken the early development of the health module forward. We have also improved the computation of poverty forecasts from the Poverty Level Display form. |
Version 5.36 |
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Problem Fixes: There was a problem with the web interface that was causing oscillation in the forecast of some variables after year 2030. There was also a problem with the setup of the stand alone version, it was causing problems to Excel in the target machines. These problems have been fixed. New Features: There is a new specialized display available for all users, it’s called "Poverty Level Display" and it shows how many people are under a certain level of income in terms of US Dollars per day. There’s also the option to display the level of income at which we can find the poorest Nth percentile of people. Model Improvements: There’s been an improvement in the representation of urbanization. There’s also been an update in data and new variables around the area of Health. |
Version 5.34
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Ease-of-use Features:There are many new entries in Flexible Packaged Display. It is now possible to identify members of Groups (look under Country Data Analysis). The user-interface portions of the Help system have been substantially updated. Data Updates: We moved to the 2006 version of data from the World Bank, including switching over from 1995$ to 2000$. And many other data have been updated. Model Improvements:Work has been done to improve both the energy and the agricultural sub-models and to strengthen their forecasts. For instance, we've introduced the possibility of capping the growth in production of oil and gas for major OPEC and other producers, rather than allowing large spikes of production and exports as some of those producers begin to face resource or infrastructure constraints. Thus possibilities for exploration of "peak oil" have been enriched. There has also been work to enhance the behavior of forecasts for some of the smaller countries of the model, including those in Africa. And we've also added log-normal (the standard) formulations for forecasting poverty reduction and added many packaged scenarios for interventions around poverty reduction. |