News
Update: May 2012
International Futures used for Human Development Report 2012 Research Paper
For the second consecutive year, the International Futures model is being used for analysis that will inform the forthcoming United Nations Development Programme’s Human Development Report. At the request of the Human Development Report Office, Barry Hughes authored a research paper that models aggressive but reasonable policy intervention scenarios to promote human development. The scenario interventions chosen are largely derived from the extensive work accomplished in producing the Pardee Center’s Patterns of Potential Human Progress series. The research paper concludes that while there is no single policy “silver bullet,” large numbers of simultaneous interventions can have a positive impact on the Human Development Index to 2050.
Director Barry Hughes visits Beijing and Shanghai
The Frederick S. Pardee Center was represented in China on a trip organized by the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative in cooperation with the U.S. National Intelligence Council (NIC) and its Global Trends 2030 project. Professor Hughes met with many organizations and think tanks, including both the Research Center for Sustainable Development and the Institute of American Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (the former is a partner in a project with the Finland Futures Research Center in which the Pardee Center is also a partner); the Chinese Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR has some comparability to the NIC); the China Institute of International Studies (associated with the Foreign Ministry and undertaking its own 2030 analysis); the International Department of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China; the China Foundation for International and Security Studies; and the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies. Dr. Hughes provided sessions on the IFs system for the two groups within the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and for CICIR personnel and participated in the other meetings with colleagues from the Atlantic Council and the NIC.
Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Kosovo invites Pardee Center researcher for consultation
His Excellency Enver Hoxhaj invited Jonathan Moyer from the Pardee Center to Pristina to begin planning for the representation of Kosovo within the International Futures model. The meeting emphasized collaboration between the Foreign Ministry and the Pardee Center to build capacity for long-term policy analysis and planning in the Republic. Meetings with the Foreign Ministry also focused on the ways quantitative results from IFs might be used to help guide Kosovo’s long-term foreign policy strategy and goals.